Napoli vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
23.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2006 |
CES
1 - 1
NAP
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2006 |
PAR
3 - 1
NAP
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
NAP
1 - 1
FRO
60%
24%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
PES
0 - 1
NAP
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
NAP
1 - 0
BOL
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
MAN
0 - 0
ABN
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
MAN
0 - 0
BAR
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2006 |
FRO
1 - 1
MAN
37%
28%
36%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 0
PIA
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
BRE
0 - 0
MAN
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |