Napoli vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1999 |
JUV
1 - 0
NAP
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
ALZ
0 - 4
NAP
14%
23%
62%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
NAP
1 - 0
EMP
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1999 |
NAP
1 - 3
JUV
17%
27%
56%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
COS
1 - 0
NAP
25%
27%
48%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
CES
3 - 3
ASS
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1999 |
CES
2 - 2
BRE
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
CHI
2 - 1
CES
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
CES
3 - 0
FCS
76%
17%
7%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
SAM
1 - 1
CES
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |