Haimen Codion vs Ganzhou Ruishi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-69%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
2º
1º
17
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
34 | 18 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 14 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 14 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 5 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haimen Codion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NHC
2 - 0
HSF
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
QYF
1 - 5
NHC
16%
22%
62%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TTF
1 - 1
NHC
44%
26%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
NHC
1 - 1
WJF
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
CHO
3 - 0
NHC
12%
17%
71%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | -3 |
Matches
Ganzhou Ruishi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SSP
2 - 2
WJF
35%
24%
41%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ZQF
0 - 1
SSP
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SSP
4 - 2
QYF
58%
20%
23%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CHO
2 - 0
SSP
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
HBF
3 - 2
SSP
30%
22%
48%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |