Nantes vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2009 |
BRE
1 - 2
NAN
33%
29%
39%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
NAN
5 - 0
IST
60%
24%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
VAN
1 - 1
NAN
32%
30%
39%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
NAN
3 - 2
CLE
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2009 |
CAE
1 - 0
NAN
49%
27%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
STR
2 - 2
SED
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
AJA
2 - 2
STR
35%
27%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
STR
1 - 1
ARL
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2009 |
STL
3 - 2
STR
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
STR
1 - 2
CHA
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |