Europa League . Last 16
Global 2-1
Nantes vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1985 |
NAN
1 - 0
MET
65%
21%
15%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1985 |
BAS
2 - 3
NAN
24%
29%
47%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1985 |
SPA
0 - 1
NAN
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1985 |
NAN
2 - 0
STR
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1985 |
MON
1 - 1
NAN
45%
28%
28%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1985 |
SPA
0 - 1
NAN
53%
25%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
BRU
1 - 3
SPA
74%
15%
12%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
SPA
1 - 0
BRU
39%
24%
37%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
TPS
1 - 3
SPA
2%
20%
78%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
SPA
1 - 0
TPS
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |