Nantes Sub 19 vs SA Mérignac Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.3%
6.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
3º
2º
27
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
74% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
89% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
89% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LAV
0 - 2
NAN
16%
19%
65%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NAN
6 - 0
VER
92%
6%
2%
|
41 | 12 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
AVR
1 - 5
NAN
14%
18%
68%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
NAN
4 - 0
CHA
86%
10%
4%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
NAN
2 - 1
PSG
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SA Mérignac Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 1
STA
22%
21%
57%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
REN
4 - 2
SAM
71%
15%
13%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 1
GUI
38%
22%
40%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 0
SAM
28%
21%
52%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 2
REN
20%
19%
61%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |