Liga Dos China Promotion Play Off 1/16
Global 4-3
Chengdu Qianbao vs Jiangxi Dingnan United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chengdu Qianbao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
NAN
1 - 1
GUA
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LIJ
2 - 1
NAN
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
NAN
1 - 2
KEJ
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
SIC
0 - 0
NAN
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
NAN
0 - 0
SHR
60%
22%
19%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Jiangxi Dingnan United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ANH
3 - 1
HOH
81%
14%
5%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BAY
0 - 2
ANH
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ANH
0 - 1
YIN
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
JIN
1 - 2
ANH
29%
25%
46%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
ANH
4 - 0
BAO
59%
23%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |