Nancy vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ETG
1 - 1
ASN
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
ASN
1 - 1
AJA
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
TRO
3 - 3
ASN
36%
27%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
ASN
1 - 3
REN
31%
27%
41%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
NIC
2 - 1
ASN
50%
26%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
REI
63%
23%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
ASS
1 - 0
VAL
51%
25%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 1
MPL
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 3
VAL
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 1
SOC
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |