Nancy vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
REN
0 - 2
ASN
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ASN
1 - 0
NIC
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
PSG
2 - 1
ASN
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SOC
1 - 2
ASN
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
VEN
0 - 2
ASN
7%
18%
75%
|
78 | 36 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
TRO
2 - 2
ASS
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MPL
1 - 1
TRO
65%
22%
14%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
TRO
4 - 2
REI
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
TRO
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
SOC
1 - 2
TRO
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |