Nancy vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1996 |
LMU
2 - 1
ASN
32%
31%
37%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1996 |
ASN
2 - 0
SOC
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
ASN
2 - 0
VAL
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
CHA
0 - 3
ASN
32%
30%
38%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
NIO
2 - 3
ASN
34%
32%
35%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1996 |
SPI
1 - 2
LOR
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1996 |
OLY
0 - 0
SPI
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
FCM
2 - 1
SPI
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
SPI
1 - 0
STL
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
SPI
0 - 2
TFC
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |