Nancy vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
25.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
ANN
0 - 1
ASN
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
BRE
2 - 1
ASN
66%
22%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
ASN
0 - 1
CLE
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
VAL
1 - 1
ASN
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
ASN
1 - 2
GRE
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
AVE
2 - 3
RED
10%
17%
73%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
RED
0 - 3
BEZ
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 1
RED
67%
21%
11%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
RED
0 - 4
ORL
37%
27%
37%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
CLE
0 - 0
RED
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |