Nancy vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
BAS
2 - 0
ASN
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1997 |
ASN
1 - 0
REN
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
AUX
1 - 0
ASN
76%
17%
8%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
ASN
2 - 3
MET
27%
29%
44%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
SOC
3 - 1
ASN
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1997 |
NIC
2 - 0
FCG
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
NIC
1 - 1
CAE
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1997 |
STR
3 - 1
NIC
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1997 |
BAS
2 - 2
NIC
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
NIC
0 - 0
MAR
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |