Nancy vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2005 |
ASN
0 - 1
STL
54%
25%
22%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
LOR
1 - 1
ASN
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2005 |
TRO
2 - 1
ASN
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2005 |
ASN
2 - 0
DIJ
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
ASN
3 - 1
ANG
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
ANG
1 - 0
GUI
25%
27%
48%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2005 |
DIJ
1 - 1
GUI
29%
27%
45%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
GUI
0 - 1
TRO
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
GUI
3 - 1
MPL
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2005 |
CHA
2 - 0
GUI
33%
28%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |