Nancy vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
44.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
ASN
1 - 1
REN
13%
20%
67%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
ASN
0 - 3
DIJ
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
TRO
1 - 1
ASN
67%
19%
13%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
NÎM
2 - 1
ASN
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
QUE
2 - 1
ASN
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 0
QUE
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 0
CLE
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
ROD
0 - 0
BAS
40%
27%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
HAL
1 - 3
BAS
7%
13%
81%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 2
SOC
39%
29%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |