Nancy vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
GIR
3 - 2
ASN
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ASN
0 - 3
LYO
19%
23%
59%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 0
ASN
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ASN
3 - 1
ETG
41%
28%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
TRO
3 - 0
ASN
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
BAS
3 - 1
MPL
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
BAS
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 0
TFC
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 2
LIL
20%
24%
56%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
LOR
4 - 1
BAS
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |