Nancy vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
22.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
ASN
0 - 2
LYO
17%
25%
58%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
LEN
1 - 2
ASN
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
STR
4 - 0
ASN
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2006 |
ASN
0 - 0
GIR
31%
29%
40%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
ASN
1 - 0
LOR
57%
24%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
LMU
1 - 0
AJA
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
AJA
0 - 2
NAN
33%
28%
38%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
SAI
0 - 2
AJA
9%
19%
72%
|
78 | 28 | 50 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2006 |
LIL
2 - 0
AJA
60%
24%
16%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
MPL
0 - 1
AJA
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |