Nancy II vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2006 |
LEN
1 - 1
NAN
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
NAN
0 - 1
DUN
21%
25%
54%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
NAN
0 - 0
AUX
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
COM
1 - 0
NAN
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
NAN
2 - 3
SCH
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2006 |
SPI
0 - 0
CAL
31%
28%
41%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
SPI
0 - 2
LEN
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
FEI
2 - 2
SPI
38%
25%
36%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
SPI
1 - 1
COM
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
SCH
1 - 0
SPI
41%
25%
35%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |