Namibia vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
51.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
NAM
0 - 1
TZA
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
GIN
3 - 0
NAM
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
NAM
1 - 2
MLI
23%
26%
52%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
MLI
1 - 0
NAM
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
ZAF
1 - 1
NAM
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ZMB
1 - 1
GIN
49%
24%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
ZMB
2 - 0
TZA
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
CMR
0 - 2
ZMB
56%
26%
19%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
ZMB
0 - 2
UGA
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
ZMB
3 - 3
NER
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |