Namibia vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
55.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
NAM
0 - 1
MWI
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
NAM
77%
17%
6%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
RWA
2 - 2
NAM
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
NAM
0 - 0
LBR
52%
22%
26%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
NAM
1 - 0
KEN
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ZMB
2 - 0
ZWE
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
LSO
1 - 1
ZMB
12%
21%
67%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
BFA
0 - 0
ZMB
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
ZMB
1 - 1
NGA
20%
26%
55%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2013 |
ZMB
1 - 1
ETH
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |