Namibia vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
MLI
1 - 0
NAM
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
RSA
1 - 1
NAM
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 0
NAM
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
NAM
2 - 1
CHA
66%
21%
14%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
NAM
2 - 0
MAD
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
MLI
1 - 0
NAM
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
MLI
3 - 0
GHA
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 2
MLI
6%
11%
83%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
MLI
2 - 2
GUI
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MLI
2 - 0
MTN
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |