Namibia vs Ethiopia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
53.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
COD
3 - 2
NAM
72%
18%
11%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
NAM
0 - 1
ZAF
18%
22%
60%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
NAM
3 - 2
MWI
29%
23%
49%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
NAM
2 - 4
SYC
68%
18%
14%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
NAM
1 - 1
BWA
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
ETH
1 - 0
LBY
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
ETH
1 - 0
KEN
50%
25%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
ETH
1 - 0
KEN
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2006 |
ETH
1 - 0
YEM
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
RWA
0 - 1
ETH
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |