Namibia vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
NAM
1 - 1
RWA
30%
23%
47%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
RWA
3 - 0
NAM
55%
23%
23%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
ANG
1 - 3
NAM
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
ANG
2 - 0
NAM
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2003 |
ALG
1 - 0
NAM
81%
14%
6%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
LSO
0 - 0
BOT
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
BOT
0 - 2
ZIM
24%
27%
50%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
LSO
0 - 0
BOT
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
BOT
4 - 1
LSO
53%
24%
24%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
SWZ
0 - 3
BOT
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |