Najran vs Mudhar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
ARC
2 - 1
NAJ
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
NAJ
3 - 0
ALJ
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
ZUL
4 - 1
NAJ
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
NAI
1 - 1
NAJ
25%
24%
52%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
NAJ
1 - 0
NAJ
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Mudhar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MUD
4 - 3
NAJ
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
ALS
1 - 1
MUD
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
MUD
0 - 1
ALL
53%
23%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
MUD
3 - 2
ALT
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
ARC
1 - 0
MUD
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |