Pro League Round 23

Najran vs Al-Nassr analysis

Najran Al-Nassr
71 ELO 78
11.1% Tilt 22.1%
2911º General ELO ranking 865º
43º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
35.2%
Najran
25.6%
Draw
39.2%
Al-Nassr

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
Najran
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
39.2%
Win probability
Al-Nassr
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Najran
-14%
+40%
Al-Nassr

ELO progression

Najran
Al-Nassr
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Najran
Najran
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2013
ALA
Al-Ahli SFC
5 - 1
Najran
NAJ
57%
22%
21%
71 78 7 0
04 Mar. 2013
ALT
Al-Taawoun
1 - 2
Najran
NAJ
39%
25%
36%
71 68 3 0
27 Feb. 2013
NAJ
Najran
2 - 3
Al-Muharraq
MUH
63%
20%
17%
71 63 8 0
20 Feb. 2013
NAJ
Najran
0 - 2
Al-Fateh SC
ALF
35%
25%
40%
72 78 6 -1
13 Feb. 2013
NAJ
Najran
1 - 1
Al-Wehda
ALW
64%
20%
16%
72 63 9 0

Matches

Al-Nassr
Al-Nassr
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Mar. 2013
ALN
Al-Nassr
0 - 0
Al-Shabab
ALS
51%
25%
24%
78 78 0 0
03 Mar. 2013
ALW
Al-Wehda
1 - 1
Al-Nassr
ALN
27%
26%
47%
78 64 14 0
27 Feb. 2013
ALA
Al Arabi
2 - 0
Al-Nassr
ALN
22%
23%
54%
79 63 16 -1
22 Feb. 2013
ALH
Al-Hilal SFC
1 - 1
Al-Nassr
ALN
44%
24%
33%
79 78 1 0
18 Feb. 2013
ALN
Al-Nassr
2 - 0
Al-Ettifaq
ALI
52%
25%
24%
78 77 1 +1