Najran vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
39.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NAJ
1 - 1
ALT
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2012 |
ALQ
0 - 2
NAJ
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
ALS
4 - 0
NAJ
64%
21%
16%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
NAJ
3 - 1
ALR
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
ALI
3 - 0
NAJ
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
ALN
1 - 2
ALS
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
ALN
4 - 1
ANS
79%
15%
6%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 0
ALN
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
ALN
0 - 0
HAJ
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
ALH
4 - 1
ALN
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |