Pro League Round 19

Najran vs Al-Nassr analysis

Najran Al-Nassr
63 ELO 78
5.8% Tilt 4.2%
2912º General ELO ranking 866º
43º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
22.6%
Najran
26.5%
Draw
50.9%
Al-Nassr

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
Najran
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
50.9%
Win probability
Al-Nassr
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Najran
-14%
+38%
Al-Nassr

ELO progression

Najran
Al-Nassr
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Najran
Najran
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 2008
ALW
Al Watani
1 - 1
Najran
NAJ
45%
26%
29%
62 62 0 0
18 Feb. 2008
ALI
Al-Ettifaq
2 - 1
Najran
NAJ
73%
18%
9%
62 78 16 0
25 Jan. 2008
NAJ
Najran
0 - 2
Al-Hilal SFC
ALH
27%
29%
44%
62 78 16 0
13 Jan. 2008
ALS
Al-Shabab
2 - 2
Najran
NAJ
72%
19%
9%
62 78 16 0
07 Jan. 2008
ALA
Al-Ahli SFC
4 - 0
Najran
NAJ
72%
19%
9%
62 76 14 0

Matches

Al-Nassr
Al-Nassr
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 2008
ALW
Al-Wehda
1 - 1
Al-Nassr
ALN
53%
23%
24%
77 78 1 0
24 Jan. 2008
ALN
Al-Nassr
2 - 1
Al-Ahli SFC
ALA
47%
25%
28%
77 77 0 0
12 Jan. 2008
ALT
Al-Tai SC
1 - 3
Al-Nassr
ALN
29%
26%
45%
76 65 11 +1
03 Jan. 2008
ALI
Al-Ittihad
4 - 0
Al-Nassr
ALN
54%
23%
23%
77 78 1 -1
27 Dec. 2007
ALN
Al-Nassr
2 - 1
Al Watani
ALW
73%
18%
9%
77 61 16 0