Nairn County vs Fraserburgh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
73.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nairn County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
CLA
3 - 2
NAI
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
NAI
0 - 1
DEV
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
NAI
0 - 1
COV
9%
15%
76%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
LOS
0 - 5
NAI
6%
13%
82%
|
31 | 6 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
NAI
0 - 4
BRO
17%
19%
64%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Fraserburgh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
FRA
10 - 0
LOS
92%
7%
2%
|
51 | 5 | 46 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
BRO
2 - 0
FRA
40%
24%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
STR
1 - 3
FRA
8%
15%
78%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 0
COV
36%
24%
40%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
FRA
0 - 1
AUC
60%
20%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |