Nairn County vs Deveronvale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nairn County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
STR
0 - 0
NAI
7%
14%
79%
|
49 | 11 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
NAI
1 - 2
INV
47%
23%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
KEI
1 - 8
NAI
13%
20%
67%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
NAI
3 - 0
FOR
88%
9%
4%
|
49 | 8 | 41 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 2
NAI
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Deveronvale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
DEV
1 - 2
CLA
74%
17%
10%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
HUN
1 - 1
DEV
19%
22%
59%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
DEV
2 - 1
FOR
40%
25%
36%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
DEV
0 - 0
TUR
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
TUR
0 - 4
DEV
35%
24%
41%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |