League Cup . Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
NAG
5 - 1
VIS
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
NAG
12%
23%
65%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
SHI
0 - 1
NAG
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
NAG
0 - 0
VEG
54%
25%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
KAR
1 - 2
NAG
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Shimizu S-Pulse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
SHI
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
FCY
3 - 0
SHI
44%
27%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
SHI
0 - 1
NAG
41%
26%
34%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SHI
3 - 5
KAR
37%
26%
36%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
SHI
0 - 0
KAW
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |