Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2011 |
SUW
2 - 0
NAG
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
NAG
0 - 0
KAR
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
VEN
3 - 1
NAG
32%
27%
42%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
AIN
3 - 1
NAG
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
NAG
1 - 1
SHI
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
JUB
4 - 1
AVI
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
AVI
2 - 3
GAM
15%
21%
64%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
YFM
3 - 2
AVI
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2011 |
VEG
1 - 0
AVI
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
AVI
1 - 2
KAA
20%
26%
55%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |