Naftan Novopolotsk vs Maxline Vitebsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
49.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
3º
14º
13º
39
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
39 | 64 |
1º
|
79% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 53 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 52 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 51 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 51 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 50 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 46 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 40 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 40 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 40 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 40 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 38 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 32 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 27 |
14º
|
35.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 24 |
15º
|
38% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 17 |
16º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 79% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66.5% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
20% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
13.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
VIT
2 - 0
NAF
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
NAF
2 - 2
DIN
28%
26%
47%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
MIN
1 - 2
NAF
43%
26%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
DNP
6 - 2
NAF
37%
24%
39%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2025 |
ISL
0 - 1
NAF
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Maxline Vitebsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
DIN
0 - 2
MKK
43%
25%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
MKK
2 - 2
FKA
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
FKS
0 - 1
MKK
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
MKK
6 - 0
BEL
55%
21%
24%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
BEL
1 - 2
MKK
27%
22%
51%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |