Premier League Round 4

Naftan Novopolotsk vs Maxline Vitebsk analysis

Naftan Novopolotsk Maxline Vitebsk
68 ELO 76
-1% Tilt 9.3%
1883º General ELO ranking 916º
16º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
25.6%
Naftan Novopolotsk
24.4%
Draw
49.9%
Maxline Vitebsk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
Naftan Novopolotsk
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
49.9%
Win probability
Maxline Vitebsk
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Naftan Novopolotsk
-12%
+24%
Maxline Vitebsk

Points and table prediction

Naftan Novopolotsk
Their league position
Maxline Vitebsk
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
14º
13º
39
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Maxline Vitebsk
39
64
79%
Slavia Mozyr
31
53
25.5%
Dinamo Brest
27
52
17%
Torpedo Zhodino
29
51
18%
Dinamo Minsk
29
51
12%
Neman Grodno
28
50
12.5%
Isloch
24
46
18%
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
10º
18
40
17%
Vitebsk
18
40
14.5%
Gomel
11º
18
40
10º
12%
Minsk
21
40
11º
17.5%
BATE Borisov
12º
16
38
12º
20%
Naftan Novopolotsk
13º
14
32
13º
29.5%
Slutsk
14º
11
27
14º
35.5%
FK Smorgon
15º
8
24
15º
38%
Molodechno
16º
4
17
16º
69%
Expected probabilities
Naftan Novopolotsk
Maxline Vitebsk
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 79%
Conference League knock out round
0% 14.5%
Mid-table
66.5% 6.5%
Relegation play-offs
20% 0%
Relegation
13.5% 0%

ELO progression

Naftan Novopolotsk
Maxline Vitebsk
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
Minsk
Dinamo Brest
Slutsk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Naftan Novopolotsk
Naftan Novopolotsk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2025
VIT
Vitebsk
2 - 0
Naftan Novopolotsk
NAF
47%
27%
26%
69 76 7 0
30 Mar. 2025
NAF
Naftan Novopolotsk
2 - 2
Dinamo Brest
DIN
28%
26%
47%
68 76 8 +1
13 Mar. 2025
MIN
Minsk
1 - 2
Naftan Novopolotsk
NAF
43%
26%
30%
68 69 1 0
01 Mar. 2025
DNP
Dnepr Mogilev
6 - 2
Naftan Novopolotsk
NAF
37%
24%
39%
67 66 1 +1
25 Feb. 2025
ISL
Isloch
0 - 1
Naftan Novopolotsk
NAF
53%
24%
23%
67 78 11 0

Matches

Maxline Vitebsk
Maxline Vitebsk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2025
DIN
Dinamo Brest
0 - 2
Maxline Vitebsk
MKK
43%
25%
33%
76 76 0 0
29 Mar. 2025
MKK
Maxline Vitebsk
2 - 2
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
FKA
51%
25%
24%
76 75 1 0
16 Mar. 2025
FKS
Slutsk
0 - 1
Maxline Vitebsk
MKK
29%
26%
45%
76 74 2 0
08 Mar. 2025
MKK
Maxline Vitebsk
6 - 0
Belshina Bobruisk
BEL
55%
21%
24%
77 70 7 -1
02 Mar. 2025
BEL
Belshina Bobruisk
1 - 2
Maxline Vitebsk
MKK
27%
22%
51%
77 70 7 0