Nacka vs Upsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
KVA
1 - 2
NAC
23%
21%
56%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
5 - 2
SOL
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SYR
0 - 1
NAC
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
SKI
68%
17%
15%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
GAM
1 - 0
NAC
45%
24%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Upsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
VAS
1 - 4
UPS
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
UPS
3 - 2
KVA
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SOL
3 - 2
UPS
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
UPS
1 - 1
SYR
21%
21%
58%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |