Nacional vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 2
BEL
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
FCP
0 - 3
NAC
73%
19%
9%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
NAC
0 - 3
ACA
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
BOA
1 - 0
NAC
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 2
PAÇ
54%
24%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2008 |
POR
2 - 2
TRO
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
TRO
1 - 1
GON
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
FEI
0 - 1
TRO
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
TRO
0 - 0
RIO
39%
30%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
VAR
0 - 0
TRO
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |