Nacional vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
65.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
BOA
1 - 0
NAC
36%
27%
38%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 0
AVE
35%
27%
39%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
3 - 2
NAC
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 1
RIO
29%
27%
45%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
POR
5 - 1
NAC
48%
23%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
AVE
1 - 3
SCP
16%
21%
63%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SCP
3 - 0
RIO
62%
22%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
SCP
1 - 0
SLB
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 3
SCP
13%
21%
66%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
SCP
1 - 0
SAN
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |