Nacional vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BOA
0 - 1
NAC
28%
28%
44%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 0
PAÇ
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VST
1 - 1
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 4
SCP
20%
23%
57%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ACA
2 - 2
NAC
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 3
EST
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 0
SPB
29%
28%
43%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BOA
1 - 2
RIO
24%
28%
49%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ACA
0 - 2
RIO
25%
28%
48%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 1
PAÇ
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |