Nacional vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
NAC
5 - 0
COV
84%
12%
4%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 1
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 0
NAC
40%
28%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 0
BOA
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MOS
0 - 6
NAC
4%
10%
86%
|
77 | 20 | 57 | +1 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 0
MAR
8%
16%
76%
|
79 | 42 | 37 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
FEI
2 - 4
MAR
22%
24%
55%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 2
RIO
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
BOA
0 - 1
MAR
25%
27%
48%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 2
PAÇ
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |