Nacional vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
SCP
1 - 0
NAC
66%
20%
13%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
SLB
3 - 1
NAC
71%
18%
12%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
FCP
20%
23%
58%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ACA
2 - 1
NAC
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 1
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
GFC
0 - 2
SPB
20%
25%
56%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ARO
3 - 1
GFC
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
GFC
0 - 1
MOR
42%
28%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
GFC
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
GFC
1 - 1
BOA
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |