Nacional vs Feirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2021 |
ACV
1 - 4
NAC
28%
26%
47%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
LEX
57%
24%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
FAR
2 - 2
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
NAC
4 - 1
ESA
55%
24%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 0
NAC
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
FEI
2 - 1
BEN
42%
26%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2021 |
TRO
0 - 1
FEI
14%
25%
61%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
FEI
1 - 2
PEN
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
FEI
19%
26%
55%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
FEI
3 - 2
POR
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |