Nacional vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
65.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
VST
1 - 2
NAC
42%
27%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
MOR
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SPB
4 - 2
NAC
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 1
BOA
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
AMO
1 - 2
NAC
2%
5%
93%
|
68 | 33 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
PAO
1 - 4
SLB
33%
25%
42%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SLB
1 - 1
SCP
62%
20%
18%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
SLB
1 - 1
PAO
68%
18%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
BOA
0 - 2
SLB
12%
21%
67%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
FEN
1 - 1
SLB
44%
24%
32%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |