Nacional SP vs União Suzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 1
NAC
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 1
MAT
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
VOT
2 - 1
NAC
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 0
CAP
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
União Suzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BAN
2 - 0
USA
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
USA
2 - 0
RIO
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 1
USA
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
USA
2 - 1
VOT
24%
26%
50%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
COM
2 - 1
USA
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |