Nacional SP vs CA Joseense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 2
NAC
28%
28%
44%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ATI
1 - 1
NAC
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
OLI
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 2
NAC
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
GUA
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
CA Joseense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
SJS
2 - 0
CAT
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SJS
2 - 3
COM
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
SJS
19%
21%
60%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
3 - 1
SJS
61%
22%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
SJS
2 - 2
OLI
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |