Nacional SP vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
55.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAC
16%
19%
65%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 0
JUV
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
POR
0 - 0
NAC
19%
24%
57%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
POR
2 - 1
NAC
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
AGU
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
POR
76%
17%
7%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 1
SAO
26%
25%
48%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 0
TAU
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SAO
5 - 1
POR
82%
14%
4%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAO
5%
13%
82%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | -1 |