Nacional SP vs Linense CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 0
NAC
50%
25%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
DES
1 - 1
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
COM
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
NAC
4 - 1
OLI
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
PAU
1 - 1
NAC
44%
25%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Linense CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LIN
3 - 2
NOR
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
LIN
2 - 1
GRE
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CAP
3 - 2
LIN
59%
22%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
LIN
1 - 1
BER
37%
26%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 1
LIN
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |