Nacional SP vs Grêmio Osasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
NOR
2 - 0
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIN
45%
25%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 0
NAC
50%
25%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
DES
1 - 1
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
COM
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 0
PAU
35%
27%
38%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
DES
3 - 2
GRE
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 0
PRI
34%
28%
38%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
LIN
2 - 1
GRE
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
GRE
0 - 0
BAT
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |