Nacional PR vs Portuguesa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
61.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
ROL
2 - 0
NPR
32%
21%
47%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
BAN
0 - 0
NPR
73%
18%
9%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
NPR
1 - 3
IND
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
AFC
2 - 1
NPR
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 0
NPR
71%
19%
10%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
POR
2 - 2
CAB
30%
25%
44%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MIR
1 - 0
POR
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
POR
2 - 1
CAS
26%
27%
47%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 0
POR
54%
26%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
POR
1 - 1
MIR
21%
28%
52%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |