Nacional PR vs Apucarana Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
27%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
POR
3 - 1
NPR
63%
22%
16%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
NPR
1 - 2
CAB
18%
22%
60%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
TCW
2 - 3
NPR
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
NPR
1 - 4
FER
16%
28%
56%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | -2 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
IND
1 - 3
NPR
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Apucarana Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
APU
1 - 0
AAB
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
IND
2 - 2
APU
61%
20%
20%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
APU
2 - 2
CAB
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
PST
4 - 1
APU
70%
18%
13%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
APU
0 - 1
PST
15%
20%
64%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |