Nacional de Patos vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
53%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional de Patos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
DPB
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
CRI
0 - 2
NAC
19%
23%
58%
|
41 | 13 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
NAC
3 - 1
BAR
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
VIL
3 - 0
NAC
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
NAC
2 - 0
CRA
31%
26%
44%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2008 |
SOU
2 - 0
BOT
34%
23%
43%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 0
DPB
66%
19%
15%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
ECP
1 - 1
BOT
23%
21%
56%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
BOT
2 - 1
TRE
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
CAM
1 - 1
BOT
47%
24%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |