Nacional vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
42.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 0
GUA
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2010 |
RÑU
4 - 1
NAC
40%
25%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
MON
2 - 1
NAC
68%
19%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 0
OLI
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
CCP
3 - 0
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
PPE
0 - 2
SAO
26%
25%
50%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
OES
0 - 0
SAO
8%
18%
75%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
5 - 1
MON
91%
7%
2%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
ONC
2 - 1
SAO
30%
27%
44%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
PAL
2 - 0
SAO
42%
26%
32%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |