Nacional vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
42.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 1
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
JLM
1 - 2
NAC
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 2
12O
49%
27%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
RES
3 - 1
NAC
36%
28%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 3
CCP
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
LIB
2 - 0
AME
70%
20%
11%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
TAC
0 - 1
LIB
17%
23%
60%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 2
LIB
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
LIB
1 - 0
JLM
63%
20%
18%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
12O
1 - 6
LIB
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |