Nacional vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2007 |
2DE
1 - 4
NAC
42%
27%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
NAC
0 - 1
SAN
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
LIB
1 - 1
NAC
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2007 |
CCP
3 - 1
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
NAC
2 - 2
LQE
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
GUA
2 - 2
LQE
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
OLI
3 - 1
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 2
AME
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
TAC
0 - 0
GUA
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
GUA
3 - 0
12O
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |